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COVID 19 : Lock Down is Good but Migration of People Disastrous


We are now sure that unlike USA and European countries where Corona reached from China, in India Corona reached from Italy. (not from China). Thanks to Indian Government who acted on early warning signals and started through screening of all foreigners at international airports. After the message that Corona is a Chinese virus originated from Wuhan, there were laxity in the screening of foreigners other than China especially from Europe and America. It may be awkward but it is somewhat true that Indians have traditionally kept a differential standards for white people. It was obvious that very little screening for students and celebrities coming from these countries were done. At international Airports checking of international passengers who had to take domestic flights for onward journey was either not done or was perfunctory. At domestic Airports there were no screening initially. This resulted from 0 active cases on the 1st March, to more than 600 cases till 25th March 2020.
This is also because no proper screening of Indians returning from US and European countries other than China was done. Many of them resumed the business as usual after return. (Kanika Kapoor, a Bollywood singer did performance in a five Hotel in Lucknow which was attended by ex CM, Ministers, MPs, MLAs and senior bureaucrats of the State. She visited many places and contacted many people including her own family members. After foreign visit, one Senior Doctor of Medical college in Lucknow attended OPD and did so many heart operations, One Engineer in Lucknow University attended duty freely. One couple after returning from Honey moon from Europe travelled from Banglore to Agra and was shielded by his father even after being declared corona positive) These are few examples of U.P. Many such examples are in Kerala and Maharashtra. This could have been managed well as the government put Janata Curfew on 22nd March 20 followed by a complete lock down for 21 days.
Here one thing is very important that so far only a few big cities were affected / impacted and these cities or part of cities could have marked as Red Zone and could have been isolated from the rest of the country. In the meantime capacity building for testing, hospitalization should have been done. These red zones could have been converted into green zones gradually over a period of few months.
But since damage had already, Prime Minister addressed the nation and experimented Janata Curfew which was a full dress rehearsal for complete lock down for a longer period. This Janata Curfew was much talked about subject in the world for few days. After success of Janata Curfew, our PM declared complete lock down until 14 April 2020 which is really very brave and appropriate decision. Obviously in a democratic country like India where different states are ruled by different parties implementation of such a decision is not easy. The complete lock down has started and people are being asked to remain inside the home. By and large people are following the discipline. There appears slowdown in reported cases.
The fact , however, remains that in big cities a sizable number of people remain without home mainly on railway stations, bus stands, footpaths, roadside, under the trees etc. The big question is that where they should live ? and what they should eat?[1] There are no answers, as a result these people, most of them are daily wagers, have started returning to their homes in far of villages from these big cities.[2] There is no transport available and therefore they have started in their own in groups on foot,[3] on bicycles to far off and remote villages ranging from 200 kms to 1000 kms.[4] This is really the most critical and pathetic situation. We can see these laborers on most of the TV channels moving from Delhi to far off places in Bihar and eastern U.P.
There are two concern on this migration
·        One is humanitarian and
·        Other is fear of possible spread of Covid 19

Both the above points are co-related. If the first humanitarian part would have been taken care of, these migrants labors would have been engaged at the respective work places as per the spirit of lock down which would have given the best results of 21 days complete lock down. But unfortunately this has not been taken care of.
The second point is the most dangerous. When these people will reach their homes in small towns and far of villages, they will live their life as usual thinking that the Corona virus is some rich man's disease and the villagers are somehow strong. God forbid, many of them may be Corona positive . In absence of adequate knowledge, awareness, sanitation and protection, they will transmit the virus to their families and villages unknowingly. Life for them will remain as usual at least for some time until there is havoc in these rural areas where health infra structure is comparatively very weak and inadequate. The rural India is not getting medical facilities even for critical illness. There is no authentic data available as to how many people in rural areas dies without proper medical treatment,? without any media attention ? as media in India is only Urban Media. Government is also unaware of these facts and figure in absence of any hue and cry from the rural areas.

If this happens, the purpose of this complete lock may go waste as the Corona will attack now from rural areas to cities and metros which situation may be totally out of control. The intensity of this situation is beyond imagination.
The will have domino effect. After villages, Cities will suffer, many may disappear at all we do not know. [5] This is very similar to what happened in 1918 when influenza started in Bombay with returning soldiers and then went to villages. The influenza killed between 1.7 Crores and 1. 8 crores Indians, more than all the casualties in World War I . [6] India bore a considerable burden of death - it lost 6% of its people. More women - relatively undernourished, cooped up in unhygienic and ill-ventilated dwellings, and nursing the sick - died than men. The pandemic is believed to have infected a third of the world's population and claimed between 50 and 100 million lives. Crores of people died in Indian villages in the biggest ever known disaster happened in India.
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